As has been all over news media world-wide today, Turkish Air Force F-16’s shot down a Russian Air Force Su-24 Fencer which violated Turkish airspace no less than 10 times.
Russian military aircraft have been violating Turkish airspace wantonly in the weeks since Putin initiated air support operations in Syria. Airspace, which also happens to be NATO airspace. Turkey had every right to take action and could have done so long before today.
Of course, Pres. Putin is expressing anger. However, Putin is likely more angry about getting caught red-handed attacking Syrian rebels who are not affiliated with ISIS.
The Syrian Civil War is one of Sunni Muslim vs Shiite(Alawite) Muslim and little to do with the ‘Arab Spring’. The causes have been fomenting and festering for many years.
However, the war has also become an international proxy conflict between Sunni Arabs & Turkey on one side, and Shiite Iran, Russia and the Obama Administration on the other. Yes, you read correctly. Despite lip service to the contrary, Pres. Obama is firmly in the Iran-Assad camp, and has been from the moment the first anti-Assad protests broke out.
The Assad family dynasty has been firmly allied to Iran since the latter’s 1979 Islamic Revolution. Syria, became and remains the logistics & arms depot for Iran’s proxy army in Lebanon, Hezbollah; whose sole mission is the annihilation of Israel.
Without an Assad running that ‘depot’, there can be no Hezbollah. It is vital to Iran, that Assad be saved. What is vital to Iran, is vital to Pres. Obama, whose various actions & inaction clearly demonstrate his desire to see Iran dominate the Middle East.
Pres. Putin’s interests in Syria are purely imperial. It is the last overseas outpost of the old Soviet Union and Russia’s only firm military presence in the Mediterranean. Anyone who buys Putin’s snake oil that he is playing Lone Ranger against ISIS, is exercising wishful thinking at best, denial at worst.
Putin intervened in Syria militarily simply because Iran, Assad & Hezbollah combined could not defeat Syrian rebels, who are not open to maintaining Russia’s naval base in Syria due to Putin’s steadfast support of Assad.
Iran does not want Russia’s influence in Syria countering theirs. Iran’s problem however, is that Putin backed Iran in the ‘Nuke Deal’, and build the Iranian reactors that generated that dilemma in the first place.
Iran is therefore handcuffed with no ability to affect anything Russia does in Syria, lest Putin recall his nuclear technicians and tell them to ‘set charges’ on their way out. Something he may do anyway, once Syria is secure.
The ‘trick card’ in Syria, is ISIS which was formed solely to establish a logistical land link between Assad-held territory in Syria, and Iran. This is why ISIS attacked EAST into Iraq first upon gaining strength instead of west against Assad’s forces; and why Iranian forces advanced partly into Iraq from the east to meet them.
Iraq’s Shiite dominated military melted before ISIS very likely on order from Shiite Iraqi officers, and ISIS has made no attempt to advance south in Iraq to reach the Persian Gulf; nor have they attacked Jordan, and STILL do not attack Assad; though they do attack Syrian rebels.
The Assad regime buys oil from ISIS and to date, not one bomb, bullet, missile, stone or even harsh language has been hurled at ISIS by Putin’s ‘Condor Legion‘ in Syria.
ISIS was formed from the merging of AQI muscle (al-Qaida in Iraq) with the minds of Islamic extremist clerics rotting in Bashar Assad’s dungeons in the Syrian Desert. Various reports indicated that these clerics were sprung from their doom by AQI, or set free with a smile by Assad’s thugs.
Whichever is true is irrelevant because AQI was formed, funded & armed by the Assad regime in Syria in 2003 in response to the U.S. invasion of Iraq.
In 2013, AQI came shooting across the Iraqi border back in to Syria. At the time, the world was given the laughable story that AQI was kicked out of al-Qaida for being to brutal.
Action or inaction always speaks louder than words. AQI re-branded ISIS is supposed to be an anti-Shiite juggernaut of terror. Yet, the territory they control is predominantly Sunni inhabited and it is those Sunnis being machined gunned and beheaded by the score and their wives and daughters being made slaves of ISIS.
Shiite areas of Iraq and Alawite areas Syria have seen nary a shadow of an ISIS fighter. Pres. Assad and his ruling class in Syria are nearly to the last man, Alawite; Iran and central and southern Iraq are predominantly Shiite Muslim.
One very large ‘red flag’ which has gone limp since the Paris Massacre, is the Russian airliner downing over the Sinai, likely having been a terrorist act.
A group claiming to be ISIS-affiliated, claimed responsibility. To become ‘affiliated’ with a larger terror group, any person or cell of individuals need only call a news media outlet and declare themselves so.
However, ‘phoning in fame’ by terror groups is something out of the manuals of 1970’s & 80’s Mid-East terror groups or ‘skyjackers’ in the western hemisphere, demanding money.
Such methods are not those of ISIS. And, Vladimir Putin once had a man killed by having a fellow former KGB crony season his salad with a helping of Polonium 210; in a posh London eatery full of innocent patrons. Just some food for thought.